Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.266302 0.357836 0.464737 0.596876 0.753872 0.932550 1.149334
2026-02-01 0.136196 0.237389 0.376208 0.571589 0.830433 1.152864 1.575697
2026-02-08 0.078335 0.179323 0.341248 0.596361 0.964951 1.455902 2.135795
2026-02-15 0.041237 0.130385 0.299679 0.597445 1.062742 1.718984 2.669168
2026-02-22 0.024953 0.108037 0.291275 0.643321 1.226794 2.084161 3.364468
2026-03-01 0.013735 0.086541 0.275120 0.670284 1.362067 2.416616 4.034346
2026-03-08 0.006425 0.065951 0.251103 0.675687 1.460065 2.698193 4.645533
2026-03-15 0.002325 0.047584 0.222207 0.663079 1.523011 2.927364 5.189329
2026-03-22 0.000803 0.037039 0.207797 0.675485 1.628455 3.226603 5.847984
2026-03-29 0.000167 0.027743 0.190837 0.677258 1.712602 3.494290 6.468029
2026-04-05 0.000005 0.018881 0.167622 0.657518 1.751941 3.688464 6.980827
2026-04-12 NaN 0.012556 0.147627 0.639504 1.790666 3.881303 7.496480
2026-04-19 NaN 0.008911 0.136539 0.643491 1.876389 4.162925 8.170459
2026-04-26 NaN 0.005180 0.117514 0.618605 1.898329 4.334357 8.674870
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004013 0.115543 0.645763 2.035257 4.716066 9.533072
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002562 0.106598 0.647404 2.115142 4.998239 10.236658
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002275 0.110945 0.696225 2.306317 5.490798 11.301239
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001723 0.109764 0.724885 2.452719 5.905996 12.247287
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001060 0.102954 0.730671 2.545494 6.224792 13.039912
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000500 0.092222 0.717375 2.590696 6.455370 13.689231
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000283 0.088246 0.730514 2.701333 6.813620 14.563262
2026-06-21 NaN 0.000123 0.082172 0.732400 2.783432 7.119259 15.353421
2026-06-28 NaN 0.000024 0.072065 0.711525 2.804947 7.307519 15.945398